Polymarket Trader

0xvv5

0xd35a0efde4bda7e68063a5884848601e9a0f8cc7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $255.7
Realized PnL: $312.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 85.6%
Current value: $171.2
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $28.8
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $3.53
User PnL: -$2.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.23
Potential profit: $2.23
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $2.01
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$0.98

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.68

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.33

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

No 96.8% 80 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 54.5% 200 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 52.9% 200 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 70% 450.19 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 82% 412.2 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 77.9% 38 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 60% 200 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

Yes 25.6% 50 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

Yes 10% 50 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 82.1% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 74% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 92% 200 shares