Polymarket Trader

0xd35d...ec11

0xd35dc29e5aada2a73249d67a6a104d9244c4ec11

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $203.87
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $26.69
Potential payout: $87.52
Potential profit: $60.83
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $1.62

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $25.85
Potential payout: $50.19
Potential profit: $24.34
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $43.52
Potential profit: $39.39
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $8.73
Potential payout: $39.69
Potential profit: $30.96
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$10.72

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.37
Potential profit: $37.37
User PnL: -$10.21

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $24.13
Potential payout: $34.23
Potential profit: $10.1
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $28.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $14.63

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $29.63
User PnL: -$4.74

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.44
Potential profit: $24.44
User PnL: -$8.62

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $23.04
Potential profit: $16.93
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $7.11
Potential payout: $19.2
Potential profit: $12.09
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $11.79
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $9.23
Potential payout: $10.98
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $9.01
Potential payout: $9.59
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $8.58
Potential profit: $7.95
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.31

No position

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin 70%+?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $6.15
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.50T on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $4.8
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 49% 17.46 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99% 26.88 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 35% 10 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 26.88 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 41% 18.39 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Yes 61.4% 32.32 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

No 95% 10 shares
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 27?

Yes 32% 2.3 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 14.94 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 85% 4.8 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 64% 11.25 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 64% 3.59 shares