Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Polymarket Trader
chaisan
@202Yp81765
0xd37eb814ff2429da400ffb2f6abe47add411c729
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.08
- Potential profit
- $102.08
- User PnL
- -$79.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Gracheva position
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Varvara Gracheva
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Olga Sustanova win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Missouri Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win US Michigan Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Connecticut Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will a candidate from another party win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown 50% 8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown 50% 3,509.18 shares
- Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 79% 5 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 94.3% 13.68 shares
- Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 81% 5 shares
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?No 97.4% 5 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95.8% 13.68 shares
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Varvara GrachevaGracheva 57% 17,814.1 shares
- Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes 92% 20 shares
- Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No 97.2% 40 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Yes 47% 2,276.28 shares
- Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No 99.6% 4.45 shares