Polymarket Trader

0xD385f648c97B02d5252E7A616e8958c5b81bDD8A-1779811022356

0xd385f648c97b02d5252e7a616e8958c5b81bdd8a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $132.14
Realized PnL: $50.05
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.47
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $50.53
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$18.91

Yes position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $30.03
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $31.37
Potential payout: $38.25
Potential profit: $6.89
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $8.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.3
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.29

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$9.3

No position

Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $10.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $15.87
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.09

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Multiplier: 3.86x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Multiplier: 10.64x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 54%
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.36

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$7.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

No 36.7% 50 shares
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?

No 78% 0.25 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Yes 35% 42 shares
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes 20% 20 shares
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes 21% 20 shares
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 53% 20 shares
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 54% 20 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 49% 62 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 74.8% 50 shares
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

Yes 57% 21 shares
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?

No 46% 21 shares
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Yes 64.3% 50 shares