Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- User PnL
- -$145.6
Polymarket Trader
moneycrime
0xd38cb329dd671eee83c12640d505406cb902852d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.1
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $16.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$133.75
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $113.85
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$162.15
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$260
Brewers position
Brewers vs. Cubs
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$712.4
Yes position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$240
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.9
- Potential profit
- $120.9
- User PnL
- -$70
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.7
Mariners position
Tigers vs. Mariners
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.7
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.23
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Mushroom" 10+ times while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
No position
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$156
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 57.9% 120.9 shares
- Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes 79% 1,090.94 shares
- Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes 80.9% 215 shares
- Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?Yes 50% 10.88 shares
- Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No 98.6% 630 shares
- Tigers vs. MarinersMariners 48% 600 shares