Polymarket Trader

thechosenone753

0xd38d3d15efee587026903be3d6194b20113cd877

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.78
Realized PnL: $975.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $915.95
Potential profit: $915.95
User PnL: -$49.63

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $527.68
Potential profit: $527.68
User PnL: -$38.66

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.43
Potential profit: $331.43
User PnL: -$9.61

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.35
Potential profit: $200.35
User PnL: -$9.62

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.26
Potential profit: $108.26
User PnL: -$9.64

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.66
Potential profit: $97.66
User PnL: -$19.59

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.69
Potential profit: $65.69
User PnL: -$19.6

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $11.78
Potential payout: $62.02
Potential profit: $50.23
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$8.22

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.35
Potential profit: $61.35
User PnL: -$19.45

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.35
Potential profit: $57.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.74
Potential profit: $45.74
User PnL: -$19.68

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.8
Potential profit: $31.8
User PnL: -$19.7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.89
Potential profit: $20.89
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.7

Yes position

India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.12

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.51

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.22

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.18

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.48

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Yes 4% 744.52 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Yes 6.3% 441.15 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 32% 37.03 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 81% 16.94 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Yes 19% 49.22 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 27% 34.87 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Yes 35% 27.1 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 44% 21.71 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Yes 64% 15.18 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Yes 72% 13.58 shares