Polymarket Trader

20to5k

0xd39756c2ba84e685e897278b97f21896f26d5f62

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $138.59
Realized PnL: $1.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $42.89
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $43.24
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $22.27
Potential payout: $30.5
Potential profit: $8.24
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $12.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.88
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $166.38

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.73

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.94

Sashi Esport position

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group A

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.44

GnG Amazigh position

LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Phase

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.17

No position

Will Trump say "Crooked" during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.31

Team WE position

Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.75

Under position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.7

No position

Will Trump say "Macro" or "Hegseth" during College Football Roundtable?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.42

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

los kogutos position

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.11

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.47

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.07

DN Freecs position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.79

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.51

Team WE position

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.68

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.88

Over position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.19

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

No 52% 25 shares
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

No 52% 25 shares
Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19, 2026?

Yes 77% 30.5 shares
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 90% 20 shares
Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?

Yes 53% 59.99 shares
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?

No 48% 50 shares
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes 22% 50 shares
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Yes 17% 49.99 shares
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 63% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 73% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Crooked" during Speech to the Nation?

No 79% 216.55 shares
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 99% 20 shares