Polymarket Trader

semi

0xd3989ba133ab48b5b3a81e3dba9b37b5966a46d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.3K
Realized PnL: $837.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.82K
Potential payout: $6.82K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $74.99

Yes position

Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.61K
Potential profit: $5.61K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $729.1
Potential profit: $729.1
User PnL: -$215.81

No position

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.8
Potential profit: $551.8
User PnL: -$331.95

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$295

Chiefs position

Texans vs. Chiefs

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.29
Potential profit: $458.29
User PnL: -$222.89

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.4
Potential profit: $310.4
User PnL: -$158.4

No position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $252.49
Potential payout: $271.49
Potential profit: $19
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.74
Potential profit: $267.74
User PnL: -$103.74

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $226.16
Potential payout: $255.98
Potential profit: $29.82
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $94.33

Yes position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $175
User PnL: -$56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Commanders position

Falcons vs. Commanders

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.98K

Chiefs position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.89K

Buccaneers position

Buccaneers vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.89K

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.56K

Texans position

Chargers vs. Texans

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.33K

Bengals position

Bengals vs. Steelers

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.08K

No position

Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.24K

Rams position

Rams vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.6K

Lions position

Lions vs. 49ers

Ends Jan 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.55K

Jets position

Dolphins vs. Jets

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.58K

Bears position

Bears vs. Packers

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.84K

Texans position

Texans vs. Chiefs

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.51K

Rams position

Cardinals vs. Rams

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.95K

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Eagles

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.45K

Rams position

Vikings vs. Rams

Ends Jan 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.49K

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.24K

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.01K

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.63K

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Rockets

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.08K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.83K

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Falcons

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.3K

Bills position

Ravens vs. Bills

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.87K

Rams position

Rams vs. 49ers

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.19K

Eagles position

Packers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 98.9% 6,816.93 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 92% 271.49 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 51.5% 255.98 shares
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Yes 38.7% 267.74 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 59% 500 shares
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

No 51% 200 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 90% 200 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 80% 400 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 98.8% 500 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

No 98.2% 1,021 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 27% 500 shares
Texans vs. Chiefs

Chiefs 64% 500 shares