Yes position
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Polymarket Trader
sigmon
@simonerva
0xd3a381c139e2906e1949b9d9a5dd8ff6492b3150
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.51
- Realized PnL
- $341.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $999.93
- Potential profit
- $998.43
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $779.96
- Potential profit
- $779.96
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $730
- Potential profit
- $728.18
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.94
- Potential profit
- $392.94
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $386.57
- Potential profit
- $385.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Ends Oct 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $288.55
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $247.26
- Potential profit
- $247.14
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.63
- Potential profit
- $206.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 69°F or below on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $163.5
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $155.2
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.95
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $79.99
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.31
Yes position
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.32
No position
Honus Wagner card sale >$6 million?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.66
Yes position
Will the US strike Cuba next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.53
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.59
Yes position
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.68
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.53
Yes position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.87
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $8.74
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $8.45
Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $7.92
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $6.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?Yes 31% 16.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?Yes 40% 5.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?Yes 21% 9.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?Yes 2.9% 34.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?Yes 24.8% 8.05 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.1% 47.26 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?No 9.8% 27.02 shares
- Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?No 3.7% 27.03 shares