Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $2.06K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $12.94K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $7.51
Polymarket Trader
Pol.1
0xd3a72382f2c459af33a839866b3f2852e4723362
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.91K
- Realized PnL
- $4.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $397.5
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $14.6K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $12.23K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $379.97
- Potential payout
- $9.62K
- Potential profit
- $9.24K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $8.74K
- Potential profit
- $7.61K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $808.51
- Potential payout
- $6.88K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$30.96
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $735
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $722.74
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $173.31
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
No position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $943.24
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $228.49
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.68
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $645
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $355
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $789.46
- Potential payout
- $956.93
- Potential profit
- $167.46
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$14.35
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $346.16
- Potential payout
- $834.12
- Potential profit
- $487.96
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $39.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $560.7
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $207.51
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $292.51
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $485.76
- Potential payout
- $500.01
- Potential profit
- $14.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $402.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $282.45
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $217.55
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $202.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $297.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $251.55
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $178.45
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $100.07
- Potential payout
- $339.23
- Potential profit
- $239.16
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $249.57
- Potential payout
- $278.85
- Potential profit
- $29.28
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $121.06
- Potential payout
- $272.05
- Potential profit
- $150.99
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $793.84
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.53
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.9
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.28
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $405.31
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $301.4
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.79
No position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.05
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.68
No position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $75.98
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.01
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.06
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $46.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.14
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.43
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $30.06
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?No 95% 999.99 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 17% 25.31 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 167.28 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 66% 200 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?No 45% 335.62 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?No 72% 665.43 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.1% 1,000 shares
- Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 1,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.7% 20 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.2% 1,000 shares