Polymarket Trader

gwen3c

0xd3b475bd0ba93cc2be14988169dc3ac4997c33a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.44
Realized PnL: $65.13
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $49.44
Potential payout: $101.94
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$5.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$14.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 92% 32.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 61.5% 32.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 92.1% 54.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 83.5% 102.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 97.9% 102.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 98.2% 101.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 94.5% 211.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.9% 207.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 96.6% 103.52 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 86.3% 71.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 96.5% 103.62 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 54% 101.94 shares