Polymarket Trader

artand

0xd3cddd1db370ebfc2fb2075c5d1a08df71b31d27

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.1
Realized PnL: -$3.45
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Macron out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.17
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $13.74
Potential payout: $295.5
Potential profit: $281.76
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $12.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.61
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 21.8%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $5.59
Multiplier: 4.59x
User PnL: $0.56

Ding position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will game 6 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Ding Liren win game 6 of the World Chess Championship?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win game 5 of the World Chess Championship?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Game 7 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Ding Liren win game 4 of the World Chess Championship?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 295.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 60 shares
Macron out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

No 90% 13.09 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 93% 10.75 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 21.84 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 53% 21.85 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

No 80% 10.43 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?

No 95% 11.58 shares
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship

Yes 60% 0.45 shares