No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $17.41K
- Potential payout
- $40.02K
- Potential profit
- $22.61K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.36K
Polymarket Trader
sabsabinxz
0xd3ecb2aee0d65622da559ff356b00e8c2e626603
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.84K
- Realized PnL
- $33.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $14.21K
- Potential payout
- $23.1K
- Potential profit
- $8.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $947.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $17.33K
- Potential payout
- $21.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.08K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.76K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.27K
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $681.54
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $333.46
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $257.66
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$145.46
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $291.81
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$78.97
Yes position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $504.1
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $822.49
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$170.9
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $511.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $588.5
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $38.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $998.49
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$269.5
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $500.05
- Potential profit
- $462.55
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$42.5
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $271.47
- Potential payout
- $484.77
- Potential profit
- $213.3
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $53.16
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $107.85
- Potential payout
- $342.37
- Potential profit
- $234.53
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$91.95
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $6.65
- Potential payout
- $204.66
- Potential profit
- $198
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$16.96
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $141.41
- Potential payout
- $190.71
- Potential profit
- $49.3
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $41.41
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $41.32
- Potential payout
- $129.12
- Potential profit
- $87.8
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $852.02
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.58
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.02
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.55
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.09
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $249.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.96
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $122.62
Yes position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.26
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.96
No position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.92
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 63% 915 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 15% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 59% 5,481.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 58% 7,712 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 57% 1,490.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 11,993.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 55% 7,499.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46% 2,215.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 47% 1,227 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 46% 223.58 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 1,344.79 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 3% 327.86 shares