Polymarket Trader

0xd3fe...6800

0xd3fe197026e196e3d5a8f7e3e84fdd0d55fc6800

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $109.62
Realized PnL: $316.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $201.2
Potential profit: $199.69
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.86
Potential profit: $164.86
User PnL: -$144.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.88
Potential profit: $56.88
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.55
Potential profit: $34.55
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Aoi Yuki as Maomao (The Apothecary Diaries Season 2) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.35
Potential profit: $33.35
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $25.39
Potential profit: $20.28
Multiplier: 4.98x
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92.1%
Current value: $18.77
Potential payout: $20.39
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

Will Mayumi Tanaka as Monkey D. Luffy (ONE PIECE) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $20.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $20.15

No position

Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $17.15
Potential payout: $19.71
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $11.29
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 17, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $7.92

No position

Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $8.53
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $8.53

No position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.64

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.14

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.03

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $16.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.17

Yes position

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

Yes position

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Up position

BNB Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 56.7% 68.41 shares
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?

No 77% 12.99 shares
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?

No 77% 12.99 shares
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?

No 77% 12.99 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 57% 17.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 57% 17.54 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 60% 16.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 60% 16.67 shares
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 71.8% 11.43 shares
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 51.3% 7.84 shares
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 34.7% 1.84 shares
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 75.3% 0.54 shares