Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $823.33
- Potential profit
- $823.33
- User PnL
- -$49
Polymarket Trader
krusaderlk
0xd4050dcb2030366b185baf9b55cb6bbbd2957392
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.45
- Realized PnL
- $247.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $15.24
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $460.95
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- $5.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $16.23
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $68.52
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- $6.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.46
- Potential profit
- $55.46
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $17.7
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $36.35
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.29
- Potential profit
- $50.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$29.64
Yes position
Will Schlep be unbanned from Roblox before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $23.53
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $19.76
- Potential profit
- $9.79
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.66
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Ends Jan 18, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $1.53
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 3.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 2.1% 476.19 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 96.6% 1.04 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 72.99 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 77.51 shares
- Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes 65.3% 1.53 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 78% 6.41 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 66% 7.58 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.6% 19.76 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 19.61 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 84.75 shares