Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $73.86
- Potential profit
- $73.6
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Polymarket Trader
0xd40b...35cd
0xd40b00e7e089b1b5caf4f0005bc5a703c4f035cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.37
- Realized PnL
- -$9.51
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $14.75
- Potential profit
- $8.48
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $3.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 45% 4.44 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 45% 4.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?Yes 0.3% 8.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown 35% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETDown 34% 14.71 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 60% 3.33 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?No 60% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?Yes 80% 2.5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 34.1% 5.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 15?Yes 5.3% 37.92 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 15?Yes 9% 9.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?No 99.9% 2 shares