MatthewPatterson4888

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $748.89
Potential payout: $954
Potential profit: $205.11
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $424.53

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $116.55
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $513.45
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$349.65

Yes position

Will Oregon and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269
Potential profit: $269
User PnL: -$40.35

Yes position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $106.6
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $153.4
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$83.2

No position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $153.15
Potential payout: $259.58
Potential profit: $106.43
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $75.28

Yes position

Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.01
Potential profit: $237.01
User PnL: -$151.21

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.33
Potential profit: $143.33
User PnL: -$13.85

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani disparage Donald Trump on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122
Potential profit: $122
User PnL: -$26.84

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $118
User PnL: -$18.88

No position

Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$33.12

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$57.51

No position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.02
Potential profit: $79.02
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$16.13

Yes position

Will Odisea win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $13.52
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $37.49
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $2.28
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $121.56

No position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.56

Yes position

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $81.32

Yes position

Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.79

Yes position

Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.28

No position

Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.84

Yes position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.2%
Multiplier: 8.20x
User PnL: $47.7

Yes position

Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.71

No position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.46

Yes position

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.42

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.48

Yes position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.4

Yes position

Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.16

Yes position

Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $22.47

No position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $22.23

No position

Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.55

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.92

Yes position

Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.87

Yes position

Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Yes position

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $18.63

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $18.4

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?