Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.49K
- Potential profit
- $75.49K
- User PnL
- -$13.67K
Polymarket Trader
AishahSofey
0xd4140031e313f8d850740a80d2ee6653c925a4db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $133.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.67K
- Potential profit
- $35.67K
- User PnL
- -$257.19
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.82K
- Potential profit
- $27.82K
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.8K
- Potential profit
- $22.8K
- User PnL
- -$106.02
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.97K
- Potential profit
- $14.97K
- User PnL
- -$104.79
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.24K
- Potential profit
- $10.24K
- User PnL
- -$81.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.44K
- Potential profit
- $9.44K
- User PnL
- -$726.44
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.33K
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.88K
- Potential profit
- $6.88K
- User PnL
- -$49.68
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.94K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- User PnL
- -$44.46
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- User PnL
- -$71.96
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- User PnL
- -$10.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$452.7
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$47.58
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$17.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$161.94
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$390
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair after July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$390
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$136.36
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$17.59
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$16.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.96K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.82K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.05K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.64K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.86K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Yes position
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 2% 300 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 2.1% 705.37 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 33% 661.05 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No 94.1% 291.48 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No 93% 350 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 24% 3,665.75 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 1,322.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 31% 1,665.75 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 65.6% 1,383.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 31% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 8,113.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 21% 5,718.05 shares