Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.1%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$437.82
Polymarket Trader
Annihilation
0xd416d3309f75426c82a5158cdcb209780af2d9e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.35K
- Realized PnL
- $11.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $946.82
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $154.13
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$17.89
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $831.8
- Potential profit
- $831.8
- User PnL
- -$45.82
No position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $788.66
- Potential profit
- $788.66
- User PnL
- -$293.98
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $271.43
- Potential payout
- $705
- Potential profit
- $433.58
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$130.52
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $419.99
- Potential payout
- $474.57
- Potential profit
- $54.58
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $138.68
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $260.99
- Potential payout
- $398.46
- Potential profit
- $137.47
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $395.73
- Potential profit
- $395.73
- User PnL
- -$5.29
Yes position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $130.25
- Potential payout
- $179.66
- Potential profit
- $49.41
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $46.81
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $22.35
- Potential payout
- $169.97
- Potential profit
- $147.62
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $40.3
- Potential payout
- $57.17
- Potential profit
- $16.87
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $42.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $15.75
No position
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $33.15
- Potential payout
- $35.64
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.68
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.44
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.35
Yes position
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.8
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.51
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $446.58
No position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $428.83
No position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.56
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.6
No position
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.93
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $328.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.12
No position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.99
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.81
Yes position
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.12
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.41
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.24
No position
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $210.31
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.17
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.5
No position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 21.2% 24.53 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 21.3% 49.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 21.3% 98.11 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 21.7% 129.16 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 22.1% 130.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 68.7% 27.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 72% 5 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No 62% 424.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 66% 398.46 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 68.8% 25.04 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 264.66 shares
- Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 12% 169.97 shares