Polymarket Trader

xtyche1

0xd43e03dd8c4be9e1efefe20dbf1ca2b5edbab2c0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $813.45
Realized PnL: $5.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Finland win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $77.36
Potential payout: $910.09
Potential profit: $832.74
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$95.59

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $47.31
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $721.92
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$52.69

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $632.91
Potential profit: $632.91
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.09
Potential profit: $456.09
User PnL: -$50

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $359.1
Potential payout: $401.67
Potential profit: $42.58
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $59.1

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.7
Potential profit: $393.7
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $259.15
Potential payout: $281.69
Potential profit: $22.54
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $59.16

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.04
Potential profit: $271.04
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.28
Potential profit: $227.28
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $70.54
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $108.04
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$29.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.95

No position

Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.25

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.1

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.95

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.23

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.26

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.18

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.99

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.72

No position

EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.36

Dumont position

Vieira vs. Dumont

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.76

Bills position

Chiefs vs. Bills

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.27

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $122.58

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.28

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Switzerland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

No position

Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

No 93% 1,612.38 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 74.7% 401.67 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?

Yes 57% 175.44 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 39% 243.9 shares
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 281.69 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 56% 178.57 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 41% 243.9 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29.6% 675.1 shares
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

Yes 35% 285.71 shares
Will Finland win on 2026-05-31?

Yes 3.8% 1,298.7 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?

Yes 64% 312.5 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 666.66 shares