Polymarket Trader

miilong9

0xd4405ecb40a1294694c4eb8c2f186649d323166e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $127.88
Realized PnL: $201.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$70.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$44.29

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $40.06
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $35.92
Potential payout: $36.5
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $29.94
Potential payout: $30.5
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $21.97
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.27

Yes position

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Kings position

Jazz vs. Kings

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 13% 20 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 94% 19.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Yes 9.6% 60.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 10% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 19.4% 65.61 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

No 39% 60 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

No 49% 57.95 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

No 89% 50 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Down 47% 52.25 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?

Down 48% 8 shares