No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Bermud
0xd44205fe8b1b1e657c8a322eae1e6cd74005b45f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.01
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.26
- Potential profit
- $434.26
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.43
- Potential profit
- $233.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.09
- Potential profit
- $210.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.01
- Potential profit
- $201.01
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.53
- Potential profit
- $166.53
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.2
- Potential profit
- $125.2
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.43
- Potential profit
- $121.43
- User PnL
- -$109.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.2
- Potential profit
- $118.2
- User PnL
- -$35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.2
- Potential profit
- $89.2
- User PnL
- -$25.87
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $25.3
- Potential payout
- $85.76
- Potential profit
- $60.46
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.61
- Potential profit
- $84.61
- User PnL
- -$29.61
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.85
- Potential profit
- $77.85
- User PnL
- -$29.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.2
- Potential profit
- $72.2
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $58.71
- Potential payout
- $67.87
- Potential profit
- $9.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $28.71
Yes position
Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.05
- Potential profit
- $65.05
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.76
- Potential profit
- $60.76
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.4
- Potential profit
- $56.4
- User PnL
- -$19.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.33
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.97
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.98
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
No position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $36.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.42
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $32.03
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.49
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.39
Yes position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.21
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 29.2% 85.76 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes 41% 36.59 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 57% 35.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 90% 36.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 34% 29.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 54.6% 36.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 38.46 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No 72.3% 65.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.8% 263.16 shares
- Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.1% 277.98 shares
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 84.1% 90.58 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?No 23.1% 65.04 shares