Polymarket Trader

FiatNux

0xd4508b24a25c8e342d174c07f102911774ca3124

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.61
Realized PnL: $284
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $54.89
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.46
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $20.86
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $20.59
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $11.51
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 7?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

No position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?

Up 27% 3.7 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?

Up 77% 1.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Up 69% 1.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?

Up 18% 5.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

Up 59% 1.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?

Up 29% 3.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Yes 44.2% 2.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?

Up 45% 2.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Yes 36% 2.69 shares