Polymarket Trader

0xd457...7334

0xd457f65cb91228e5d3f12aba50c376e097897334

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $31.36
Realized PnL: $97.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $6.61
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $2.39
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $3.05
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 66.6%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $0.93
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.1

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Ghana position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Under position

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Under position

Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Under position

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Under position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Under position

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 15?

Up 72% 2.03 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

No 75% 2.53 shares
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Under 23.7% 4.21 shares
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

No 67.2% 2.78 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

No 51.1% 3.82 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

No 59% 3.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

No 76% 2.03 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 73% 2.74 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

No 75% 2.53 shares
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 da Vinci procedure growth 15%-17.5%?

Yes 65% 3.05 shares
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?

Yes 47% 3 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57.5% 3.03 shares