Polymarket Trader

0xd4696ADB3c4374b10608D2423e43a

0xd4696adb3c4374b10608d2423e43a033f061da24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $34.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918.54
Potential profit: $918.54
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.74
Potential profit: $43.74
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $34.29
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42K

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37K

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $946.53

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466

Lakers position

Spurs vs. Lakers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.44

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.16

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.14

No position

GPT ads by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.43

Kings position

Warriors vs. Kings

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.14

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.68

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.59

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.57

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $29.56

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

No position

Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 16.7% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 10% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Down 14% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Down 25% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Down 64% 15.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Down 32% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 3% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Up 7.9% 126.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Down 45.7% 43.74 shares