Polymarket Trader

Kingofhenorth1

0xd46be610a32e5c6ee094977e3caf9ab89c525dab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.79K
Realized PnL: $308.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.74K
Potential profit: $118.74K
User PnL: -$474.97

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.78K
Potential payout: $26.89K
Potential profit: $21.11K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $818.08

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $9.38K
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.55K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$190.72

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $954.56
Potential profit: $954.56
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.62
Potential profit: $684.62
User PnL: -$92

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.05
Potential profit: $684.05
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.73
Potential profit: $349.73
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.35
Potential profit: $339.35
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$17.8

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $168.75
Potential profit: $167.99
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.24
Potential profit: $72.24
User PnL: -$10.53

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $20.78
Potential profit: $17.97
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08K

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.37K

No position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.94K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.03K

Yes position

Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57K

No position

No Israel strike Iran on by Sunday Oct 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98K

No position

Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.97K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.27K

No position

Iran strike on Israel before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.49K

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42K

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43K

Yes position

Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1K

Yes position

Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29K

No position

Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28K

No position

Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 19% 214.47 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 19% 12,105.26 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 80.4% 2,912.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 18% 8,711.11 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 78.2% 1,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 78.5% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 18% 1,972.22 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 18% 2,222.22 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 17% 1,557.89 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 19% 1,557.89 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 18% 1,666.67 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 79.1% 116.95 shares