Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$90
Polymarket Trader
0xd46e...a2ba
0xd46eca00cd366b09f0d2913cb00d12fe451fa2ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$16.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.92
- Potential profit
- $163.92
- User PnL
- -$14.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.63
- Potential profit
- $160.63
- User PnL
- -$80.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.57
- Potential profit
- $158.57
- User PnL
- -$14.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.45
- Potential profit
- $152.45
- User PnL
- -$13.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.45
- Potential profit
- $152.45
- User PnL
- -$13.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.92
- Potential profit
- $151.92
- User PnL
- -$75.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.67
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.67
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.67
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.67
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.67
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.67
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.67
- Potential profit
- $148.67
- User PnL
- -$13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.07
- Potential profit
- $141.07
- User PnL
- -$12.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.44
- Potential profit
- $138.44
- User PnL
- -$12.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.19
- Potential profit
- $130.19
- User PnL
- -$65.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.19
- Potential profit
- $130.19
- User PnL
- -$11.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.09
- Potential profit
- $127.09
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.09
- Potential profit
- $127.09
- User PnL
- -$63.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.09
- Potential profit
- $127.09
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.84
- Potential profit
- $126.84
- User PnL
- -$11.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.05
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.64
Yes position
Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.75
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.06
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 18?Yes 20% 3.09 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 19?Yes 6% 2.34 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 19?Yes 25% 1.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 18?Yes 9% 0.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 3% 3.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?Yes 7.8% 1.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 18?Yes 7% 3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 16?Yes 60% 3.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 18?Yes 10% 4.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 16?Yes 21% 3.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 16?Yes 4.8% 0.26 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 17?Yes 15% 0.09 shares