Y
Yes position
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $128.31
- Potential payout
- $787.2
- Potential profit
- $658.88
- Multiplier
- 6.13x
- User PnL
- $39.9
Polymarket Trader
bricc
0xd4787b1d1243d95d71fa6d4f1218093dadd40ed8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $134.6
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $6.29
- Potential payout
- $66.2
- Potential profit
- $59.91
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $978.21
Yes position
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.2
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.46
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.49
No position
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will Trump say "Gas" or "Gasoline" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will JD Vance's remarks not air?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Clarence Thomas attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes 10.1% 99.01 shares
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes 12.4% 322.9 shares
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 167.29 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 10.9% 1,889.24 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 41.3% 14 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 12% 830.68 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 6% 500.75 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 104.81 shares
- Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 34% 50 shares
- Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 11.8% 850.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp 39% 2.56 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Yes 2% 367 shares