No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $7.68K
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $713.84
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $309.87
Polymarket Trader
LadyFleur
0xd478912d1ffc5c5242f0a5ab4e69bf692c4c2a73
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.75K
- Realized PnL
- $5.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $53.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.49
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.66
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.33
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.69
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.2
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.6
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.2
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $191.41
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.6
No position
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.18
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.97
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.3
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.83
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.46
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.34
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.79
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.42
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.56
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 1,064.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.9% 198 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 208 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 88% 6,805.16 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 87.4% 65.31 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 86.8% 507.6 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 91% 5,164.95 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 44.8% 234 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 45.2% 2,018.89 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 55.8% 465.68 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 55.9% 599.62 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 59% 1,000.72 shares