Polymarket Trader

Lebek

0xd48e335578fddfca9a44b8ad4600624860bf0057

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.92
Realized PnL: $28.66
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.18K
Potential profit: $4.18K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $757.06
Potential profit: $757.06
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.88
Potential profit: $113.88
User PnL: -$21.08

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.97
Potential profit: $108.97
User PnL: -$35.98

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.82
Potential profit: $100.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.64
Potential profit: $91.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $91.58
Potential profit: $91.44
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.86

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.64
Potential profit: $90.64
User PnL: -$5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.69
Potential profit: $80.69
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $60.78
Potential profit: $60.6
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$9.82

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.12
Potential profit: $57.12
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.4
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.4
Potential profit: $33.4
User PnL: -$2

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.71
Potential profit: $15.71
User PnL: -$2.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $3.3
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66
Potential profit: $1.66
User PnL: -$0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $4.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Down position

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.9%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$3.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 19% 26.21 shares
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Yes 13.6% 34.72 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 34% 32.35 shares
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Yes 14.9% 72.94 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Yes 0.7% 428.57 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 37.9% 13.19 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

No 37% 34.41 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?

Up 14% 21.43 shares
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 27?

Up 27% 12.5 shares
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 27?

Up 20% 12.5 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?

Up 16% 18.75 shares