Polymarket Trader

Rocky0420

0xd48fbb1cae18cf7d956277271ce4c712513e2132

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.83K
Realized PnL: $1.17K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.78K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $550
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.45K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $230

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $90.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $920.78

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $171.6
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$330

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $61.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $134.99

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $690
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $510
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$270

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $850.95
Potential payout: $930
Potential profit: $79.05
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $60.45

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $495
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $105
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $43.57
Potential payout: $311.2
Potential profit: $267.63
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$97.06

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $21.73
Potential payout: $197.55
Potential profit: $175.82
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$17.78

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$9.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.77

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.87

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.04

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.17

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.24

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $66

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.31

Yes position

Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.85

Yes position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.99

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Under position

Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.16

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 38.4% 1,640 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 80% 63.6 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 84.8% 1,000 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 84.7% 289 shares
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 18% 55 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 21% 48 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 13% 77 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 22% 45 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 59% 100 shares
Kash Patel out by June 30?

No 93% 200 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 98.1% 554.3 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 68% 64.37 shares