Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
hoshe
0xd4938e1b684d7e4d0ba1e838326c2d5e609e205a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $364.71
- Realized PnL
- $454.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $191.35
- Potential payout
- $429.99
- Potential profit
- $238.64
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$28.65
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $317.28
- Potential profit
- $317.28
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.03
- Potential profit
- $289.03
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.75
- Potential profit
- $205.75
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $65.49
- Potential payout
- $184.47
- Potential profit
- $118.99
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$34.51
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.74
- Potential profit
- $136.74
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.62
- Potential profit
- $130.62
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $13.55
- Potential payout
- $129.03
- Potential profit
- $115.48
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$26.45
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.8%
- Current value
- $31.48
- Potential payout
- $122.23
- Potential profit
- $90.76
- Multiplier
- 3.88x
- User PnL
- $11.48
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.66
- Potential profit
- $115.66
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.68
- Potential profit
- $82.68
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $62.85
- Potential payout
- $71.83
- Potential profit
- $8.98
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.85
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.78
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.64
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.44
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 53% 377.36 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 2.9% 172.41 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 24% 125 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 69% 72.46 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes 26.8% 130.62 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Yes 23% 43.52 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No 70% 71.43 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes 26.6% 37.59 shares
- Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?No 32% 62.5 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No 34.6% 289.03 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes 33% 30.3 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?Yes 1.4% 714.29 shares