No position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$7.7K
Polymarket Trader
Rancher1555
0xd497873a13dc9f215fc86c04438c2894a5c142c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.7K
- Realized PnL
- $106.09
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $179.78
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Red Sox position
Red Sox vs. Brewers
Ends Jun 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$275
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59.5
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $33.78
- User PnL
- -$25
LYON position
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Devils position
Hurricanes vs. Devils
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.16
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.84
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.89
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.52
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.79
Magic position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$800
Boston Red Sox position
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes 99.6% 1,402.63 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.6% 1,396.59 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Yes 36% 61.05 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes 74% 33.78 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes 96.4% 65.68 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes 91% 12.09 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes 97.7% 232 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 138.43 shares
- Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Yes 41.5% 61.05 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.9% 1,384.92 shares