Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $515.39
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$84.61
Polymarket Trader
csv26
0xd4aa7a88705c1b342716ff67ce8760b11d4b8fcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $515.39
- Realized PnL
- $873.02
- Win rate
- 23.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $620.54
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.59
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.09
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Andrew" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.49
No position
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 29.7% 2,021.13 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 49.4% 6,481.14 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 34.7% 233.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 1.1% 2,319.01 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes 2.3% 2,319.02 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 36.5% 1,369.96 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 99.5% 612.65 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 32% 597.25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Yes 0.8% 1,230.49 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 35% 1,428.57 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 88.2% 684.93 shares
- Will Starmer say "Andrew" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 7% 5 shares