Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $171.91
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Polymarket Trader
Serpentum
0xd4b37f839104031135a9e6778d4f2d480ac6e571
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.07
- Realized PnL
- -$8.05
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $90.25
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $66.23
- Potential profit
- $56.52
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.32
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $50.53
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $9.51
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $41.77
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $27.56
- Potential payout
- $31.32
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.56
No position
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $26.72
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $22.35
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $21.86
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.47
- Potential profit
- $23.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.4
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.65
- Potential profit
- $19.65
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.69
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $10.66
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10.57
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
N
No position
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.49
- Potential profit
- $10.49
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 1 Qatar?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 1 Qatar?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0 - 2 Qatar?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 - 2 Qatar?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3 - 0 Qatar?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 3 Qatar?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Scotland vs. Brazil: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 0 Haiti?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Canada?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 2 Qatar?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in June?Yes 91.4% 5.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?No 50% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?No 85% 11.76 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 3.4% 10.34 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes 19.7% 10.14 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 29% 10.34 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?Yes 49.3% 10.14 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?No 59.3% 12.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?No 67% 14.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 26?No 71% 1.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?Yes 17% 29.41 shares