No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.71
- Potential profit
- $589.71
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
aoxiaomi
0xd4b4addf45e59779368110c675b9f8e191c8cec6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.49
- Realized PnL
- $279.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.98
- Potential profit
- $266.98
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $10.69
- Potential payout
- $254.45
- Potential profit
- $243.76
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $13.64
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $168.18
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$86.36
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $79.17
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $29.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.23
No position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.99
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 30% 166.67 shares
- Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 3.9% 254.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 181.82 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 65.5% 381.68 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 85.4% 509.47 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 33.9% 589.71 shares
- Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No 68.5% 145.99 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 78.4% 127.61 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes 56.2% 266.98 shares