Polymarket Trader

0xD4b87375a3B916D7E5CA4428BAabecAdb9047bF1-1775512709716

@juanpdesantis

0xd4b87375a3b916d7e5ca4428baabecadb9047bf1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.87K
Realized PnL: $509.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $198.36
Potential payout: $339.08
Potential profit: $140.72
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $221.67
Potential payout: $224.71
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $21.67

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $194.51
Potential payout: $219.78
Potential profit: $25.27
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$5.49

No position

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $205.09
Potential payout: $211.98
Potential profit: $6.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.09

No position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $204.65
Potential payout: $207.34
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $182.75
Potential payout: $188.5
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $93.18
Potential payout: $164.96
Potential profit: $71.77
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $15.18

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $132.88
Potential payout: $150.4
Potential profit: $17.52
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $140.71
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $120.52
Potential payout: $121.92
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $20.52

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $105.99
Potential payout: $117.11
Potential profit: $11.13
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $100.57
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $14.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $100.28
Potential payout: $111.73
Potential profit: $11.45
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $103.88
Potential payout: $111.1
Potential profit: $7.22
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.88

No position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $103.13
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $6.76
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.13

No position

US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $98.26
Potential payout: $109.78
Potential profit: $11.53
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.74

No position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $69.91
Potential payout: $107.55
Potential profit: $37.64
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$7.89

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $100.48
Potential payout: $106.61
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $103.37
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $85.17
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $16.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $94.75
Potential payout: $99.95
Potential profit: $5.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.79

Yes position

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $79.62
Potential payout: $96.51
Potential profit: $16.89
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $79.19
Potential payout: $93.72
Potential profit: $14.53
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $85.63
Potential payout: $93.59
Potential profit: $7.96
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.64

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

Yes position

Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.16

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $15.13

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Up 60% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 65% 15.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Up 59% 16.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up 93.9% 106.53 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 114.94 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 95.3% 860.44 shares
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?

No 91.1% 109.78 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 93% 26.88 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 88% 944.03 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 91% 219.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Up 80% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Down 98% 102.04 shares