Polymarket Trader

0xD4bb827c0227774BCDe1BD881b36C7d93854A993-1768600189069

0xd4bb827c0227774bcde1bd881b36c7d93854a993

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.14K
Realized PnL: $22.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $6.78K
Potential payout: $7.65K
Potential profit: $872.32
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $15.56
User PnL: $495.38

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$1.83K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $138.11
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $414.32

Yes position

Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$290.44

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $39.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $208.08

Yes position

Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$258.66

Yes position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $57.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $188.25

Yes position

Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$252.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$151.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$100

Spurs position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$809.99

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$433

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $251.76
Potential payout: $357.1
Potential profit: $105.34
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$61.76

Yes position

LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $333.34
User PnL: -$183.34

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$255

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $169.6
Potential payout: $237.2
Potential profit: $67.6
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$9.56

Over position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 4.5 Corners

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219
Potential profit: $219
User PnL: -$164.06

Over position

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$113

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $190.91
Potential payout: $196.41
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.92

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.78
Potential profit: $136.78
User PnL: -$114.43

Yes position

Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.81
Potential profit: $108.81
User PnL: -$30.15

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$80

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Yes position

Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

No position

Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $780.16

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.68

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.86

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.01

Yes position

Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660.95

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.5

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.98

Yes position

Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.97

Yes position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.19

Yes position

Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.3

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $406

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.6

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.75

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.24

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.54

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Down 53.2% 204.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Down 49% 204.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Down 2% 369.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Down 9.7% 1,029.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Down 20.6% 486.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 9.6% 1,037.86 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

No 95.8% 57.5 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?

No 95.7% 138.91 shares
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)

Baltimore Orioles 81.7% 45 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 75% 200 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 97% 100 shares
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Team to Take First Corner

Colombia 74% 98.64 shares