Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $40.08
- Potential payout
- $413.15
- Potential profit
- $373.08
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- $9.92
Polymarket Trader
0xd4E38D9B99A8eEf655b588bBE4Dd2Ed5cFB5e3A2-1778799814855
0xd4e38d9b99a8eef655b588bbe4dd2ed5cfb5e3a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.08
- Realized PnL
- $49.57
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.33
- Potential profit
- $76.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.53
- Potential profit
- $34.53
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.71
- Potential profit
- $27.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.38
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.13
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.93
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$32.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 7.3% 413.15 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.7% 4,979.94 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.2% 1,557.5 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 94.7% 20.49 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.1% 2,334.21 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2% 500 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.7% 588.24 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes 0.1% 67.32 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Yes 32% 21.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?Yes 2.3% 37.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?Yes 36.1% 27.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?Yes 27% 37.04 shares