Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $587.57
- Potential payout
- $827.57
- Potential profit
- $239.99
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $16.55
Polymarket Trader
0xd4ed...c43d
0xd4edb89ab1e2971679b84872bbb4035813f5c43d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $587.57
- Realized PnL
- $344.75
- Win rate
- 87%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.21
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.74
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.37
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.52
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
No position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.69
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 69% 827.57 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 80% 581.05 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 93% 470.3 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.6% 439.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 80.8% 425.74 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 19.2% 358.79 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 25.6% 358.8 shares
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 71.5% 8.39 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 17% 37 shares
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 85.7% 18.67 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 245.56 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 88% 60.23 shares