No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.1K
- User PnL
- -$56.3
Polymarket Trader
lilnut
0xd4f7317eaf098d9958ea4a4860fda106c703aede
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $619.5
- Realized PnL
- $4.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $4.75K
- User PnL
- -$256.22
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$101.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA dip to $120 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $619.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $686.46
- Potential profit
- $686.46
- User PnL
- -$588.68
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $654.57
- Potential profit
- $654.57
- User PnL
- -$543.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $650
- User PnL
- -$137
Pacers position
Hornets vs. Pacers
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Tesla dip to $263 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $519.52
- Potential profit
- $519.52
- User PnL
- -$13.22
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$65
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$150
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$141
Yes position
Will Amazon dip to $132 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.98
- Potential profit
- $252.98
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Tesla dip to $330 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.19
- Potential profit
- $208.19
- User PnL
- -$20.82
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.41
- Potential profit
- $205.41
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$94
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $762.45
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.95
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.97
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.4
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.55
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.05
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.99
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.89
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.76
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.02
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- $54.55
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.65
Down position
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.49
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
North Korea missile launch by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.81
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.87
Yes position
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.03
Down position
Solana Up or Down on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No 91% 115.32 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 89% 700 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on July 10?Yes 90% 80 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 9?Yes 89% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 100 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?No 90% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No 93.4% 100 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.3% 3,030.3 shares
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes 11% 454.55 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 480.46 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?No 13% 500 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.5% 3,030.3 shares