Polymarket Trader

0xd4f90C257Fc15d7E6Ef54d74Fa93ae6F45c1CDCD-1763923830531

0xd4f90c257fc15d7e6ef54d74fa93ae6f45c1cdcd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.35
Realized PnL: $81.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Cleveland Guardians position

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$4.45

Over position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.16
Potential profit: $18.16
User PnL: -$9.99

Cleveland Guardians position

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.64
Potential profit: $14.64
User PnL: -$9.81

Over position

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.18
Potential profit: $14.18
User PnL: -$7.23

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.58
Potential profit: $13.58
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $11.69
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.61
Potential payout: $11.66
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.93

Over position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $11.25
User PnL: -$5.96

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.01
Potential profit: $11.01
User PnL: -$7.82

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $10.55
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $3.52
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.61
Potential profit: $8.61
User PnL: -$4.99

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.37
Potential profit: $7.37
User PnL: -$6.71

Athletics position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.47
Potential profit: $6.47
User PnL: -$5.11

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Over position

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Under position

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

New York Liberty position

New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $1.57

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

St. Louis Cardinals position

Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 93% 5.95 shares
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Cleveland Guardians 11.9% 37.5 shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates 77% 8.13 shares
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Chicago Cubs 69% 10.59 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 10.55 shares
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

No 97% 5.05 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 98.5% 6.66 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 42% 6.5 shares
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5

Under 65% 9.51 shares
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5

Over 51% 14.18 shares
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

San Francisco Giants 86% 11.12 shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 56% 5.5 shares