Polymarket Trader

gr1221y

0xd4fc5f6009cd3582328dd7b2639f81d4bdb27a72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.99
Realized PnL: $309.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.2
Potential profit: $87.2
User PnL: -$6.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.55
Potential profit: $85.55
User PnL: -$12.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.9
Potential profit: $81.9
User PnL: -$6.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.61
Potential profit: $70.61
User PnL: -$5.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.9
Potential profit: $69.9
User PnL: -$5.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.86
Potential profit: $47.86
User PnL: -$9.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.8
Potential profit: $47.8
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 6-12?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $46.42
Potential profit: $42.94
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.86
Potential profit: $45.86
User PnL: -$0.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.52
Potential profit: $38.52
User PnL: -$3.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.45
Potential profit: $38.45
User PnL: -$4.23

Yes position

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $34.69
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $37.08
Potential profit: $36.88
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$6.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $29.19
Potential payout: $35.19
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $18.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $31.3
Potential profit: $29.58
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.83
Potential profit: $30.83
User PnL: -$8.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.72
Potential profit: $30.72
User PnL: -$5.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.66
Potential profit: $29.66
User PnL: -$6.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $29.6
Potential profit: $29.54
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$5.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.9
Potential profit: $28.9
User PnL: -$2.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $28.17
User PnL: -$7.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.01
Potential profit: $24.01
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $21.99
Potential profit: $18.47
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$6.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 7?

No 98% 5.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 7?

No 99.7% 5.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Down 71% 6.49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 7?

Yes 99% 5.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Up 24% 18.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?

No 99.7% 5.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Down 17% 27.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Down 26% 20.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on July 7?

No 98% 5.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?

Yes 94% 4.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3AM ET

Up 30% 7.5 shares