Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xd50508edCC8c187B9227005621f8e6d164b0437B-1777251367094
0xd50508edcc8c187b9227005621f8e6d164b0437b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.33
- Realized PnL
- -$11.5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $19.12
- Potential payout
- $61.67
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $6.91
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 72.4% 6.91 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 81% 6.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown 56% 1.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp 99% 5.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp 94% 5.32 shares
- Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 0.4% 1,181.6 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 0.3% 1,745.03 shares
- Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 24.3% 61.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 92% 5.43 shares
- Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes 89.7% 3.33 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 63% 15.87 shares