Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $97.14
- Potential payout
- $258
- Potential profit
- $160.86
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $76.24
Polymarket Trader
ryanstorm
0xd50f412dd643e17e3ab26cd4d25523912d97a14e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $183.28
- Realized PnL
- $156.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $63.76
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$1.87
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $22.38
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.14
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Yes 8.1% 258 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 94.2% 68 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 3.9% 43 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.8% 50 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.2% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 2.4% 50 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 94.3% 13.85 shares
- Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 6.7% 23 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes 3.8% 192 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 93.5% 94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes 3.7% 71 shares