Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.6K
- Potential profit
- $294.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Polymarket Trader
0xD512f1092543dbA882AA2c594127118A720079B3-1768846424397
0xd512f1092543dba882aa2c594127118a720079b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.07K
- Realized PnL
- $17.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $211.17
- Potential payout
- $70.39K
- Potential profit
- $70.18K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $65.25
Yes position
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $294.86
- Potential payout
- $58.97K
- Potential profit
- $58.68K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $51.07
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.48K
- Potential profit
- $53.48K
- User PnL
- -$2.26K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.3K
- Potential profit
- $32.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $94.35
- Potential payout
- $20.97K
- Potential profit
- $20.87K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.31
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $109.79
- Potential payout
- $19.96K
- Potential profit
- $19.85K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $63.82
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.14K
- Potential profit
- $17.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Yes position
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $86.67
- Potential payout
- $15.76K
- Potential profit
- $15.67K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $23.64
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.35K
- Potential profit
- $13.35K
- User PnL
- -$70.99
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.7K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- User PnL
- -$46.98
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.96K
- Potential profit
- $10.96K
- User PnL
- -$129.98
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.06K
- Potential profit
- $10.06K
- User PnL
- -$553.07
No position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.48K
- Potential profit
- $7.48K
- User PnL
- -$494.67
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $84.32
- Potential payout
- $6.49K
- Potential profit
- $6.4K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$286.64
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- -$201.99
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$148.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$71.84
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$670.89
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $164.69
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$726.16
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.9%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $361.52
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $24.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95K
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.89
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.22
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.93
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $393.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.49
Yes position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.73
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.66
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.25
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.77
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.22
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.46
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Will Trump say "Qatar" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80.1% 795.41 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes 4.3% 2,303.43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.7% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 98.6% 1.01 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 1.03 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 25% 130 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 38% 130 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 0.7% 3,622.37 shares