Y
Yes position
Will Portugal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Polymarket Trader
Macaquinhus
0xd51dbb6d86a9cc478b460102da71861986a81578
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $433.67
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.3
- Potential profit
- $298.3
- User PnL
- -$23.5
No position
Will Nuno Mendes be in Portugal's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.34
- Potential profit
- $273.34
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Y
Yes position
Will Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $75.88
- Potential payout
- $219.7
- Potential profit
- $143.82
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $68.8
No position
Will 0 weightlifting world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Will 1+ weightlifting world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will Drake release a surprise album?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Rúben Dias be in Portugal's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.53
- Potential profit
- $143.53
- User PnL
- -$3.79
No position
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $128.71
- Potential payout
- $130.41
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $21.75
- Potential payout
- $120.5
- Potential profit
- $98.75
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$7.28
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.6
- Potential profit
- $100.6
- User PnL
- -$38.23
Yes position
Will Benfica win Primeira Liga?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,600 and $7,700 on May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10.12
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,300 and $7,400 on May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open above $7,700 on May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.2
N
No position
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $82
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,400 and $7,500 on May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $91
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $80.22
- Potential payout
- $82.19
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.96
Y
Yes position
Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $80.09
- Potential profit
- $78.45
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.7
- Potential profit
- $61.7
- User PnL
- -$22.03
No position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $43.46
- Potential payout
- $60.79
- Potential profit
- $17.33
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $8.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.71
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.63
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $114
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.6
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.6
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.38
Yes position
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by April 17, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.2
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.28
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.98
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win more than 22% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.3
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.27
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.83
Yes position
Will Porto win Primeira Liga?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $4.00 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.82
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.09
No position
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.6
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.29
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.8% 82.19 shares
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over 33% 20 shares
- Will Iran record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.5% 201.2 shares
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 74% 21.88 shares
- Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?No 93% 6.36 shares
- Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?No 89.4% 13.21 shares
- Will Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 397.1 shares
- Will South Korea be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?No 85% 16 shares
- Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?No 98.7% 100 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 70% 50 shares
- Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes 5% 50 shares
- Will Portugal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes 0.3% 37.09 shares