No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $3.73K
- Potential profit
- $154.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $376.94
Polymarket Trader
0xd52c519046e9dDB74A47D1C53ADFA5F75BB6107a-1767401314273
0xd52c519046e9ddb74a47d1c53adfa5f75bb6107a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.43K
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$848.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$36.41
No position
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $491.62
- Potential payout
- $655.49
- Potential profit
- $163.87
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$111.4
No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $539.88
- Potential payout
- $565.02
- Potential profit
- $25.14
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $73.11
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $428.09
- Potential payout
- $441.79
- Potential profit
- $13.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $169.57
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $298.09
- Potential payout
- $311
- Potential profit
- $12.91
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $15.39
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$39
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218
- Potential profit
- $218
- User PnL
- -$160.05
Leadership Change position
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.84
- Potential profit
- $207.84
- User PnL
- -$107
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $203.85
- Potential payout
- $203.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $73.85
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$72
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$128
No position
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $22
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$93.9
Yes position
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $126.58
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $36.75
Yes position
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$75.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70.7
- Potential payout
- $70.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $25.45
No position
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $49.48
- Potential payout
- $59.97
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $15.69
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $47
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $33.84
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $44.34
- Potential profit
- $36.85
- Multiplier
- 5.92x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.1
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.3
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.2
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.61
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.26
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.4
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.42
No position
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.3
No position
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
Yes position
Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.37
No position
Another US bank failure by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35
No position
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.9% 0.45 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.9% 11 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes 28% 47 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing 65% 105 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 200 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 36% 200 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No 93% 145 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 64% 70.7 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 16% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 16% 100 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 20% 12.99 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 19% 20 shares