Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $4.09K
- Potential payout
- $221.34K
- Potential profit
- $217.25K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $290.63
Polymarket Trader
0xd544F7dc1D20E5FE38574650dD80B10075111A81-1767257436504
0xd544f7dc1d20e5fe38574650dd80b10075111a81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.09K
- Realized PnL
- $188.93
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Nakatani position
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$636.83
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $883.61
- Potential profit
- $883.61
- User PnL
- -$380.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.24
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.21
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
OMalley position
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Movsar Evloev position
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
150k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 210.53 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 21,052.63 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 67% 10.45 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 68% 7.35 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 3,076.92 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13% 363.42 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 6,657.86 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 27% 363.41 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.7% 97.65 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 61.9 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 5,353.33 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 28% 357.14 shares