No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0xd547a2A7881Cec4fa0e3a11f04Dde3Ae7A318790-1766863750368
0xd547a2a7881cec4fa0e3a11f04dde3ae7a318790
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.13
- Realized PnL
- $146.05
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $479.58
- Potential profit
- $479.58
- User PnL
- -$13.09
Yes position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $307.18
- Potential profit
- $307.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.7
- Potential profit
- $239.7
- User PnL
- -$11.39
Yes position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $68.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $56.88
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $13.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.89
- Potential profit
- $79.89
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.85
- Potential profit
- $69.85
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.05
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown 26% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 0.3% 7,265.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 1% 290.85 shares
- Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes 3.3% 307.18 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes 0.9% 1,124.38 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 20,000 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 44% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETUp 4% 39.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown 3% 69.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETDown 2% 99.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETDown 6% 39.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown 6% 49.8 shares